tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3110857152936301451.post2664595763531195076..comments2023-11-03T21:36:09.393+08:00Comments on Principle of Uncertainty: Computerized Forecasting and Discriminationkhengsionghttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08388168568808671784noreply@blogger.comBlogger8125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3110857152936301451.post-18192882453783919502007-09-03T09:01:00.000+08:002007-09-03T09:01:00.000+08:00kai,A forecast sounds good if it is simple. But a ...kai,<BR/>A forecast sounds good if it is simple. But a simple analysis could be seriously flawed.<BR/><BR/>Yeah, human nature...khengsionghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08388168568808671784noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3110857152936301451.post-29503796592839363102007-09-02T17:48:00.000+08:002007-09-02T17:48:00.000+08:00forecast? believe them when they sound so good to ...forecast? believe them when they sound so good to be true only! human nature...kaihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14952395183790583739noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3110857152936301451.post-58692780306519098742007-08-30T17:26:00.000+08:002007-08-30T17:26:00.000+08:00Hi happy,Your point of auto-suggestions is worth p...Hi happy,<BR/>Your point of auto-suggestions is worth pondering. So if a kid is predicted to be a not-so-bright student, he/she probably would simply give up studying. That would be bad.<BR/><BR/>Mmm... the banks are probably serious about the forecast of potential defaulters.khengsionghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08388168568808671784noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3110857152936301451.post-52395702457094881062007-08-30T17:17:00.000+08:002007-08-30T17:17:00.000+08:00Those profilers are pretty interesting though I do...Those profilers are pretty interesting though I do agree with Evans-Pughe's summation on the techniques being flawed when it comes to complex human issues.<BR/><BR/>Also, I think these forecast results may do more harm than good to people who are not strong enough and could succumb to the ill-effects of auto-suggestions. Thank goodness, not many people take these results seriously or am I mistaken?HappySurferhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01444290549991093661noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3110857152936301451.post-7353385900741849882007-08-28T16:10:00.000+08:002007-08-28T16:10:00.000+08:00princess,Yes, I am in Malaysia. My classes are mos...princess,<BR/>Yes, I am in Malaysia. My classes are mostly in the evening, so I still have a little bit time in weekends.<BR/><BR/>As for your last question... you can find out in my blog.khengsionghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08388168568808671784noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3110857152936301451.post-9260370461114766862007-08-28T12:00:00.000+08:002007-08-28T12:00:00.000+08:00Muahahahahaa.... i know what you mean about the 'p...Muahahahahaa.... i know what you mean about the 'profilers'. All these tests sometimes the outcome of the result (by statistics) are so damn funny. I do feel like I am a psycho some of the times. So you are in Malaysia at the moment?<BR/><BR/>Work full time and study part time ar? No more weekends for you lor... And let me guess.. No gf either? :PEileenhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10588160067116711965noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3110857152936301451.post-52681637441458238642007-08-27T14:54:00.000+08:002007-08-27T14:54:00.000+08:00Princess,I work full time and study part-time.I am...Princess,<BR/>I work full time and study part-time.<BR/><BR/>I am thinking: if I live in the U.S., the 'profilers' probably would predict me to be a mass killer. Hahaha...khengsionghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08388168568808671784noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3110857152936301451.post-27217537123816933702007-08-27T10:31:00.000+08:002007-08-27T10:31:00.000+08:00Oh doing your MBA.... Are you working part-time an...Oh doing your MBA.... Are you working part-time and studying part-time? <BR/><BR/>I guess models & templates for studies can only work as a reference. It can be a guideline for a lot of things. But sometimes it is full of crap. Even business models & forecasting models in my company gives me the headache and I end up using my own....<BR/><BR/>Hehe, I am a PURE science student working in a business consulting company, I totally got lost seeing all the business abbreviations such as CAGR, GDP... I dun even know what the heck it means... Hehe.. perhaps I should do MBA :)Eileenhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10588160067116711965noreply@blogger.com